Heart Attack Prevention: Who Should Consider Medicines?

✓ Medically reviewed | Published: | Evidence level: 1A
An Australian analysis classified 26.4% of participating adults as having intermediate cardiovascular risk, where preventive medicines merit consideration. The findings highlight opportunities for treatment discussions without establishing that everyone in this category needs medication.
📅 Published:
✓ Reviewed by iMedic Medical Editorial Team
📄 Cardiovascular Health

Quick Facts

Study Participants
115,873 adults
Intermediate-Risk Share
26.4% of participants
High-Risk Share
9.7% of participants

What did Australia's cardiovascular risk study find?

Quick answer: The updated assessment classified more participants as intermediate risk and fewer as high risk than the previous approach.

Published in September in the Medical Journal of Australia, the observational study examined primary care records for adults aged 45–74 without established cardiovascular disease. Researchers compared Australia's updated assessment with its predecessor. The intermediate-risk share increased from 11.6% to 26.4%, while the high-risk share fell from 17.6% to 9.7%. [Published study](https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.5694/mja2.70280).

These shifts describe changes in estimated risk and classification. The study did not test whether prescribing additional medicines prevented events. It also did not apply the guideline's discretionary reclassification step, which allows clinicians to consider additional risk factors. Consequently, the findings support closer assessment rather than automatic prescribing. [Study methods and limitations](https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.5694/mja2.70280).

When should statins and blood pressure medicines be considered?

Quick answer: Australian guidance recommends preventive medicines for high cardiovascular risk and individualized consideration for intermediate risk.

The Australian guideline defines intermediate risk as a predicted cardiovascular-event probability of 5% to less than 10% over five years; high calculated risk begins at 10%. Blood pressure-lowering and cholesterol-lowering medicines are recommended for high-risk patients unless contraindicated or clinically inappropriate. At intermediate risk, clinicians should discuss expected benefits, possible harms and patient preferences before deciding on treatment. Statins are an appropriate first choice for lowering cholesterol. [Australian treatment guidance](https://www.cvdcheck.org.au/managing-cvd-risk).

Assessment combines several influences rather than relying on one cholesterol reading. The updated calculator incorporates information including smoking, blood pressure, diabetes, atrial fibrillation and existing cardiovascular medicines. Clinicians may refine the resulting category using factors such as kidney function and a family history of premature cardiovascular disease. For someone near a treatment threshold, this fuller assessment can materially affect the recommendation. These thresholds belong to the Australian system; they should not be substituted directly into another country's calculator. [Australian guideline summary](https://www.mja.com.au/journal/2024/220/9/2023-australian-guideline-assessing-and-managing-cardiovascular-disease-risk).

How can patients balance preventive benefits and side effects?

Quick answer: A useful treatment discussion connects overall cardiovascular risk with likely benefit, medicine tolerability and a practical follow-up plan.

The expected absolute benefit of preventive treatment generally increases as baseline cardiovascular risk rises. This helps explain why the same medicine may be strongly recommended for one person and optional for another. Smoking cessation, physical activity and healthy eating remain part of care at every risk level. For intermediate-risk patients who do not start preventive medicines, Australian guidance generally recommends reassessment after two years, or sooner if risk factors worsen or the estimate approaches the high-risk threshold. [Risk-based management recommendations](https://www.cvdcheck.org.au/managing-cvd-risk).

Follow-up helps identify problems that can often be addressed by adjusting treatment. New muscle pain during statin treatment warrants discussion with the prescriber; serious muscle damage is rare, and changing medicines may help. Blood pressure medicines have different adverse-effect profiles: some can cause dizziness, while ACE inhibitors can cause a dry cough or changes in potassium and kidney function. Patients should have a clear plan for reviewing symptoms, treatment response and any necessary tests. [NHLBI cholesterol follow-up advice](https://www.nhlbi.nih.gov/health/blood-cholesterol/living-with), [Healthdirect blood pressure medicine guidance](https://www.healthdirect.gov.au/medicines/blood-pressure-medicines).

Frequently Asked Questions

No. It means treatment deserves consideration. Your clinician should assess your overall risk, additional risk factors, possible adverse effects and preferences before recommending a medicine. [Australian treatment guidance](https://www.cvdcheck.org.au/managing-cvd-risk).

Feeling well does not show that treatment is unnecessary: high blood pressure often causes no symptoms. Review treatment with your prescriber before making changes, including when lifestyle changes may have reduced your medication needs. [Healthdirect medicine guidance](https://www.healthdirect.gov.au/medicines/blood-pressure-medicines).

Tell your prescriber so the symptoms can be assessed. Depending on the findings, a blood test or a different statin may be appropriate. Serious muscle damage is rare. [NHLBI follow-up advice](https://www.nhlbi.nih.gov/health/blood-cholesterol/living-with).

References

  1. Lazarevic N, Bhat M, Joshy G, et al. Medical Journal of Australia. 2026;224(9):e70280. [Observational comparison of Australian cardiovascular risk algorithms](https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.5694/mja2.70280).
  2. Australian Guideline for Assessing and Managing Cardiovascular Disease Risk. [Manage CVD Risk](https://www.cvdcheck.org.au/managing-cvd-risk).
  3. Medical Journal of Australia. 2024. [2023 Australian guideline for assessing and managing cardiovascular disease risk](https://www.mja.com.au/journal/2024/220/9/2023-australian-guideline-assessing-and-managing-cardiovascular-disease-risk).
  4. National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute. [Blood Cholesterol: Living With High Cholesterol](https://www.nhlbi.nih.gov/health/blood-cholesterol/living-with).
  5. Healthdirect Australia. [Blood pressure medicines](https://www.healthdirect.gov.au/medicines/blood-pressure-medicines).